ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Scotland face Ireland in a Women's T20 World Cup group-stage match on 13 June 2026. The fixture represents a competitive encounter between two Associate nations with contrasting recent trajectories in international women's cricket. The 100% implied probability reflects the near-certainty that the match will proceed as scheduled and produce a decisive result under standard playing conditions.

Historical context shows both teams have participated in recent T20 World Cups, though with limited head-to-head records at this level. Ireland's women have generally outperformed Scotland in ICC tournaments over the past five years, winning their last bilateral series encounters. However, Scotland demonstrated improved form in qualifying rounds, suggesting the gap has narrowed. T20 cricket's inherent volatility means single-match outcomes remain genuinely uncertain despite historical patterns; the 100% probability here reflects only the certainty of match completion, not competitive balance.

Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad composition and injury status through early June. Weather forecasts for the match venue become relevant from mid-June onwards, though rain-affected matches still resolve under DLS methodology. Fixture scheduling changes remain possible but unlikely at this stage of tournament planning. The settlement window extends to 20 June, providing five days post-match for ESPN Cricinfo to publish final official results. Any last-minute venue changes or logistical disruptions would constitute the primary catalyst for market movement, though such developments rarely occur within two weeks of a scheduled ICC fixture.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.