Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Mi New York

Platform comparison

Market context

The Seattle Orcas have already secured a decisive victory over MI New York in Match 17 of the Major League Cricket 2026 season, played on 2 July at Knight Riders Cricket Field in Pomona, California. MI New York posted 132/8 in their 20 overs, while the chasing Orcas reached 50/4 in just 9.2 overs before the match concluded with an official win for Seattle, as confirmed by the full scorecard and match highlights [3][5][6]. The current 0% YES probability for MI New York reflects this finalized result, not a pre-match forecast.

Historically, prediction markets that retain active pricing after a match concludes usually stem from delayed settlement or unresolved official declarations, yet here the result is unambiguous and published by ESPNcricinfo. Comparable cases in recent MLC seasons show that once a winner is declared via standard play or tiebreaks like a Super Over, markets resolve immediately without ambiguity [1][2]. The zero probability aligns with the league’s standard practice of treating on-field rulings and forfeits as ordinary wins, leaving no room for a New York reversal.

Traders should monitor only the official Robinhood settlement confirmation, as no further announcements, schedule changes, or dependencies will alter the outcome. The match is already complete, and the settlement window ending 2026-07-09 serves purely as a procedural deadline for market closure [4]. Recent coverage confirms MI New York’s fourth-place standing with four points and Seattle’s second-place position with six, underscoring the decisive nature of this result in the playoff race [2]. No new catalysts exist; the event is closed.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Mi New York across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.