Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
51% | 49% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
51% | 49% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit - Completed match? | 51% |
| The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit | 0% |
| The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Trent Rockets Women have already won this match by 31 runs, so the market’s **0% YES** pricing is consistent with a result that is effectively settled in real time rather than still dependent on pre-match uncertainty.[1] London Spirit won the toss and chose to field, but Trent Rockets posted 158 for 5 and then restricted Spirit to 127 for 7, which is the sort of completed scoreline that leaves no room for a different winner absent an official correction.[2][1]
The broader read-through is straightforward: in The Hundred, women’s matches between these sides have often been competitive, but once a side gets to defend a total above 150, the chasing team generally needs a strong start and sustained hitting to stay in range.[5] Trent Rockets have previously beaten London Spirit in the competition, including an 18-run win noted by BBC Sport, so a Rockets victory in this fixture fits a familiar pattern of their head-to-head outcomes rather than an outlier.[5]
For traders, the only live catalysts now are administrative rather than sporting: the match page may still be updating, but ESPNcricinfo’s scorecard already shows the toss and match flow, while other live score services have posted the final result.[2][4] Because settlement is tied to the final published result on ESPNcricinfo, the key dependency is whether that record remains unchanged after any late official scoring adjustment, not any remaining on-field action.[2]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $117K.
Methodology
This page reviews The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs London Spirit across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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