The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Birmingham Phoenix

Platform comparison

Market context

The latest relevant development is that Trent Rockets and Birmingham Phoenix have already met in this Women’s Hundred season, and the Rockets won that fixture comprehensively by nine wickets after bowling Phoenix out for 64 at Edgbaston.[4][6] That result matters for “today’s outlook” because it reinforces the market’s current lean towards a Rockets win being the more likely outcome than a Phoenix upset, especially with the crowd-implied probability already at 82% YES.

Recent and comparable meetings also point in the same direction. Trent Rockets have now won the most recent head-to-heads listed for 2025 and 2026, including a three-wicket chase in Nottingham and the earlier 2026 blowout in Birmingham, while the 2026 points table shows Trent Rockets with four wins from five and a strong net run rate.[2][14] In a short-format competition like The Hundred, that combination of current form, recent direct results, and one-sided scorelines is usually a better guide than older season records.

The main catalysts to watch are selection and toss information, plus any late schedule or weather disruption that could alter how a 100-ball match plays out. The Hundred’s playing conditions mean a winner is still declared through ordinary cricket rulings such as DLS/DRS or an on-field tiebreak if needed, so traders should focus on whether both elevens are named as expected and whether conditions favour a reduced-overs chase.[14] If late team news or rain-shortening developments emerge before the 10:00 UTC settlement window closes, they can move the true chance away from the pre-match crowd price.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews The Hundred, Women: Trent Rockets vs Birmingham Phoenix across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.