The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants

Platform comparison

Market context

Manchester Super Giants’ seven-wicket win over London Spirit at Lord’s on 23 July is the clearest change in the last 24-48 hours and is the main reason the crowd-implied price is sitting at 0% YES. ESPN’s match report says London Spirit were bowled out for 80, with Ryana MacDonald-Gay taking 4-17, before Manchester Super Giants chased the target down comfortably to start the competition with a dominant win.[3][5][6]

That result matters because it gives traders a fresh, direct head-to-head reference in the same format and venue context. In short-format women’s cricket, one strong bowling performance can swing the match outcome heavily, and recent previews still framed the game as sensitive to the toss and to which side batted first, with some analysts backing the chasing side to prevail.[2][7] When a market is anchored at zero, it usually reflects either a match already settled in one direction or a stale listing that has not yet been repriced, rather than a normal pre-match probability.

The immediate catalysts to watch are the final confirmed schedule, the toss, and any team-sheet or injury updates before the 23 July fixture, because those are the main inputs that can move a low-liquidity cricket market quickly. ESPN Cricinfo is the stated settlement source, so any official match report, abandoned-match note, or revised result there will determine resolution.[3] If there is any delay, weather intervention, or late team change, those are the practical factors most likely to affect how the market is interpreted in real time.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giants across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.