Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
53% | 47% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
53% | 47% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets - Completed match? | 53% |
| The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets | 0% |
| The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets - Who wins the toss? | 0% |
Market context
Manchester Super Giants and Trent Rockets meet at Old Trafford with the market still pricing the home side at **0% YES**, even though the fixture is live on the schedule and both teams arrive with positive recent form. The most recent change in the last day is the confirmation that this is the men’s Match 14 at Emirates Old Trafford, with ESPNcricinfo listing the game for 31 July 2026 and domestic score services carrying the same start time and venue. [6][8][15][16]
The history that matters here is narrow but useful: Trent Rockets have had the better of this match-up in recent seasons, winning four of the last five men’s meetings listed by ESPNcricinfo, including one chase at Old Trafford’s wider context in 2024 and a defence of 97/8 in 2025. [6] That said, Manchester’s own recent home results are stronger than the head-to-head alone suggests; they opened 2026 with two wins and a large victory over Birmingham Phoenix, while Trent have also started well after an opening loss, so the market should be read as a live contest rather than a one-sided rematch. [6][9]
What traders should watch now is whether both sides name unchanged XIs at the toss, because The Hundred’s short format makes team composition and batting order disproportionately important. Any late weather interruption, over-rate issue, or revised chase under DLS still resolves as an ordinary on-field result under the market rules, so the key dependency is whether the match completes and produces a published winner on ESPNcricinfo. [6]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Trent Rockets on Prediction Today
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