Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns

Platform comparison

Market context

Guyana Amazon Warriors are already underway against San Francisco Unicorns at Providence Stadium, and the live score feeds show the Unicorns elected to bat first, which is the main new development in the last 24 hours.[5] That matters for a market sitting at 100% YES: once a match is live, resolution is driven by the completed result on ESPNcricinfo, with normal cricket outcomes such as rain-affected wins, DLS, or a Super Over all counting as ordinary decisions for this market.[5]

The pre-match framing was much closer than the crowd-implied price suggests. Recent previews were split between a narrow Unicorns edge, a 50-50 call, and a Warriors lean, which is a useful reminder that this fixture was not priced as a one-sided contest before the first ball.[2][3][4] That said, Guyana were widely treated as a strong home-side outfit, with one preview noting their title defence at home under lights and another putting them in favourite territory on the basis of squad strength and conditions.[1][6]

For traders watching now, the key catalysts are simple: the score at the first innings break, whether the pitch plays as a batting surface or slows up, and any weather interruption that could bring DLS into play.[8] The published start time was a night fixture in Guyana, and one preview flagged rain risk and high humidity, so even a brief delay can change the chase equation and keep a live 100% price vulnerable if the match is shortened.[1][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Global Super League: Guyana Amazon Warriors vs San Francisco Unicorns across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.