FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër - More Markets

Platform comparison

Market context

FC Malisheva and KF Vllaznia Shkodër are set to complete their UEFA Europa Conference League fixture today, with the 100% YES probability on the "More Markets" outcome reflecting that the match has already been played and fully settled. The underlying event concluded on 9 July 2026, when Vllaznia defeated Malisheva 2–1 in the first leg, confirming that all associated betting markets for the tie are now resolved [1][3].

Historically, when a match date in a prediction market aligns with a completed fixture, the crowd-implied probability for ancillary markets like "More Markets" converges to 100% YES, as the event’s outcome is no longer uncertain. Comparable cases in European club football show that once a game finishes, all related markets—whether on goals, cards, or extra betting options—settle immediately, leaving no room for probability drift [1]. This pattern is consistent across UEFA competitions, where settlement follows the final whistle without delay.

Traders should monitor the official UEFA settlement notice and ESPN’s match confirmation to ensure no administrative delay affects the final payout, though the 2–1 result is already widely recorded [3][4]. No further announcements, schedule changes, or dependencies remain, as the match window closed hours ago. The only catalyst now is the formal confirmation of the result by the governing body, which is expected within the settlement window ending 14:30 UTC today [1].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4

Methodology

We track FC Malisheva vs. KF Vllaznia Shkodër - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.