1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Market context

1. FC Köln and Real Sociedad are listed for a club friendly on 7 August, but by the time the market is being read the match is already the key live dependency: if it was played to a normal finish, the exact score will have been set, and if it was postponed or abandoned the settlement will turn on the event organiser’s final ruling. The crowd’s 0% YES price indicates no exact score outcome is being treated as live in practice, which is consistent with an uncertain or already-invalidated fixture rather than a clean pre-match scoring view.[1][2][4][5]

Recent comparable results point to a game profile that has not been tightly controlled at either end. Köln’s latest reported friendlies included a 2-2 draw with Hertha BSC and a heavy 8-0 win over Bergisch Gladbach, while Real Sociedad’s recent warm-up results included a 2-1 loss to Toulouse, wins over Aston Villa and Wolves, and successive 1-1 draws earlier in the summer.[4][5][9][12] That mix matters for an exact-score market because it produces more plausible scorelines clustered around multi-goal, lower-confidence outcomes rather than a single dominant script; an “Any Other Score” bucket is usually where these friendly fixtures end up when both sides rotate heavily or change shape between halves.[3][8][14]

The main catalysts to watch are formal line-up announcements, late schedule changes, and any note on match format, since the market resolves on the final score regardless of whether the game is completed in 90 minutes, extra periods, or another agreed structure.[1] If team sheets confirm strong rotations or youth-heavy selections, that tends to widen the exact-score distribution further, while any organiser update about postponement, abandonment, or a behind-closed-doors reset would be the decisive event for settlement.[1][2]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track 1. FC Cologne vs. Real Sociedad San Sebastian - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

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Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

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