Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| CSD Colo-Colo | 100% |
| Everton de Viña del Mar | 0% |
| Draw | 0% |
Market context
Everton de Viña del Mar and Colo-Colo are due to meet in the Chile Primera, and the market’s **0% YES** pricing implies traders currently see Colo-Colo scoring in the first half as effectively off the table. The live match listings confirm the fixture is on 1 August 2026, with the venue at Sausalito in Viña del Mar and kick-off around 19:00 UTC, so the main question is whether the pre-match read has already been fully priced in or whether late team news can still move it.[1][2][13][18]
The historical frame points one way: Colo-Colo have dominated this pairing over a long run, with FootyStats showing 17 wins to Everton’s 2 across the previous 24 meetings, while AIScore’s broader sample also has Colo-Colo well ahead overall.[19][12] Recent head-to-heads have not produced a flood of early goals, though, with the most recent league meetings including a 2-0 Colo-Colo win in February 2026 and a 1-1 draw in August 2025, which matters because a 0% first-half YES price is consistent with a market expecting control rather than a fast start.[8][9]
For traders, the immediate catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and whether Colo-Colo rest key attackers or Everton set up more conservatively at home. Live listings from Flashscore, Sofascore and ESPN show the match feed is active and being tracked in real time, so any late official team-sheet or schedule change would be the most plausible source of a price move before settlement.[1][2][9]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $101K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CSD Colo-Colo on Prediction Today
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