Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Liaoning Tieren FC meet Qingdao Hainiu FC in the Chinese Super League today, with the market’s 0% implied YES price suggesting no movement has yet been priced in for the more-markets outcome set. The immediate context is a league fixture that has already been fully listed by major score and odds sites, so the key question is not whether the match exists, but whether the in-play or pre-match stat profile points to corners, cards, goals or other secondary outcomes beyond the main result line.
Historically, this pairing has produced some clear separation in the head-to-heads. AiScore’s record shows Qingdao Hainiu with five wins from ten meetings, one loss and four draws, while FotMob notes Qingdao have won the previous three against Liaoning and have not kept a clean sheet in six matches. That combination usually points to a live market where both sides can contribute, and where “more markets” often hinge on whether the game opens up early rather than on a strong favourite holding control throughout.
For traders, the main catalysts are the confirmed line-ups, any late injury or rotation news, and the match state in the opening 15–20 minutes, which will shape totals and derivative markets more than the pre-match head-to-head. Sofascore and Soccerway already list the fixture as scheduled for 20 May at 11:00 UTC, and Kalshi has the game verified from ESPN and Fox Sports, so the remaining dependency is the final team news and whether either side alters its approach from the recent form shown in the listings.
Methodology
We track Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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