Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SC Internacional O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Cruzeiro EC O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Cruzeiro EC O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| Cruzeiro EC 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| SC Internacional 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| Cruzeiro EC 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SC Internacional (-1.5) | 0% |
| Cruzeiro EC (-1.5) | 0% |
| SC Internacional (-2.5) | 0% |
| Cruzeiro EC (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Cruzeiro EC 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| SC Internacional 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Cruzeiro EC 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Internacional host Cruzeiro in Série A with the crowd pricing **0% YES** for the extra-markets settlement, but the match itself has already been scheduled and contested at Beira-Rio, which is the key change in the last 24–48 hours for this market. Live listings place kick-off at 24:30 local listing time on Thursday, with Foot Mercato showing the fixture was due on 23 July and resolved as a 1-2 Cruzeiro win, which means traders are now watching only whether any qualifying linked outcomes were captured before the market window closed.[1][2]
The historical frame is straightforward: these clubs have generally been close enough that one result rarely tells the whole story, with head-to-head records showing Internacional ahead overall but not by a wide margin, and recent meetings having swung both ways.[5][3] That matters here because “more markets” contracts often depend on in-play or ancillary outcomes rather than the headline result, so a low or zero implied probability can reflect either thin liquidity, a missed catalyst, or the absence of any fresh market-moving information rather than a view that the underlying game was impossible to price.[6][5]
For traders, the immediate catalysts are any late team-news updates, confirmed line-ups, and whether the listed market family is tied to first scorer, goals bands, or other derived outcomes on the same match slate.[1][6] The most relevant news flow is therefore the official match listing and any late-breaking squad or scheduling changes; absent that, the live scoreline and the settlement rules will dominate because the market window ends at 00:30 UTC on 23 July.[1][6]
Methodology
This page reviews SC Internacional vs. Cruzeiro EC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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