Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Clube do Remo | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw (Clube do Remo vs. São Paulo FC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| São Paulo FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Clube do Remo travel to São Paulo FC on Saturday, 30 May 2026 in a Série A fixture. The market is currently priced at 100% YES, indicating near-certainty the match will occur as scheduled. No fixture cancellations or postponements have been reported in the past 48 hours affecting either club's domestic commitments.
Remo's recent history shows fixture reliability; the Pará-based club completed their 2025 campaign without significant scheduling disruptions, though they've occasionally faced logistical constraints given their distance from major Brazilian population centres. São Paulo, as a Rio de Janeiro-based side with established infrastructure, rarely experiences fixture delays. When Série A matches have been rescheduled in recent seasons—typically due to Copa Libertadores or international commitments—announcements have come 7–10 days beforehand, providing clear warning signals for traders.
The key dependency remains São Paulo's Copa Libertadores schedule. Should the club progress to later tournament stages with matches scheduled immediately before or after 30 May, the CBF (Brazilian Football Confederation) could theoretically adjust timing, though full cancellation remains unlikely. Weather conditions in Rio de Janeiro in late May are generally stable, presenting minimal disruption risk. Monitor official CBF communications and both clubs' injury bulletins through Friday; any late squad availability issues would be reflected in team news rather than fixture status. The 100% probability reflects the structural unlikelihood of cancellation rather than absolute certainty.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $223K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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