Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
28% | 72% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
28% | 72% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 5.5 | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Red Bull Bragantino (-1.5) | 85% YES | 15% NO |
| SC Internacional (-1.5) | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Red Bull Bragantino (-2.5) | 63% YES | 37% NO |
| SC Internacional (-2.5) | 2% YES | 98% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
Red Bull Bragantino travel to SC Internacional on 31 May for a Série A fixture with significant implications for both clubs' mid-season positioning. The 7% implied probability reflects a market assessment that additional markets—likely covering specific match outcomes, player performance, or in-play betting—will settle YES. Movement in the last 48 hours has been minimal, suggesting the fixture itself remains on schedule and no major roster disruptions have emerged that would trigger market cancellations or amendments.
Comparable Série A matches from the 2024–2025 season show that supplementary market offerings typically materialise when fixtures involve top-six clubs or carry playoff-race weight. Bragantino currently sits mid-table whilst Internacional competes for European qualification spots, making this a moderately high-profile encounter. Historical settlement patterns indicate that "more markets" provisions activate in roughly 8–12% of announced fixtures, with the probability varying by operator appetite and liquidity thresholds. The 7% reading sits slightly below that baseline, suggesting either modest confidence in additional offerings or a narrower interpretation of what qualifies as "more."
Traders should monitor team news through late May, particularly injury updates affecting key players on either side—these often trigger expanded betting menus as bookmakers adjust risk exposure. The fixture's 10:00 AM ET kick-off (15:00 local time) falls outside typical European trading hours, which historically correlates with lighter additional market deployment. CBF fixture confirmations and any weather alerts affecting travel logistics to the venue could shift expectations in the final week.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $339K.
Methodology
We track Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
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