Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Market context
The Zhejiang Lions face the Shanghai Sharks in a Chinese Basketball Association fixture scheduled for 31 May at 7:35 AM ET, with the settlement window closing 7 June at 11:35 UTC. The 0% implied probability reflects either minimal trading activity or a technical artefact; neither team's recent form nor injury status justifies complete dismissal of either outcome.
Shanghai Sharks have historically held the stronger regular-season record and playoff pedigree within the CBA's competitive landscape, though Zhejiang has shown capacity to compete in head-to-head matchups. The Sharks' consistency in domestic competition suggests marginal favouritism, yet single-game variance remains substantial. Historical CBA outcomes demonstrate that home-court advantage and roster availability shifts can swing results sharply; neither factor is yet confirmed for this fixture.
Key variables to monitor include official team rosters and any late injury announcements from either club, typically released 24–48 hours before tip-off. The timing—early morning ET—may affect liquidity and trader participation in Western markets. Confirmation of the venue and any weather-related scheduling risks should be verified through CBA official channels. If either team experiences significant player unavailability or the fixture faces postponement, the settlement window extends to 7 June, creating potential for market repricing once conditions clarify.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $179K.
Methodology
This page reviews Zhejiang Lions vs. Shanghai Sharks across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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