Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Piracicaba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Alex Hernandez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Piracicaba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Alex Hernandez Match O/U 22.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Piracicaba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Alex Hernandez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Piracicaba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Alex Hernandez | 100% Juan Bautista Torres | 0% Alex Hernandez |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Piracicaba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Alex Hernandez Match O/U 21.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Juan Bautista Torres was already priced as the stronger side for this Piracicaba Challenger meeting, but the market’s **0% YES** now points to the match having effectively moved out of the original win path, most likely because it was not completed as scheduled. Torres had the clear form and ranking edge on paper, with ATP sources and bookmakers listing him well ahead of Alex Hernandez before play[1][3][6].
For context, this is the kind of market where a pre-match favourite can still settle at **50-50** if the contest is postponed beyond the seven-day window or abandoned without a winner, even when one player is much better ranked. Torres came in around No. 280 in the ATP rankings, versus Hernandez at No. 455, and the market structure means those numbers matter less now than the event’s actual status[1].
The main catalysts to watch are any official tournament update, live-score confirmation, or schedule revision from Piracicaba organisers and score providers, because those determine whether the match is completed, voided, or pushed beyond settlement. The listed start times also differed across books and trackers, which is a useful sign to check whether the fixture was delayed, rescheduled, or simply not played as planned[2][3][4][7].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $171K.
Methodology
This page reviews Piracicaba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Alex Hernandez across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
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