Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij Rodionov

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Market context

The Stuttgart Open qualifying draw takes place 7–14 June 2026, with Shimabukuro facing Rodionov in an early-round encounter. The 100% implied probability reflects the market's assessment that this match will proceed as scheduled and produce a decisive result within the settlement window. No recent developments have altered the fixture's status as of the latest draw confirmation.

Shimabukuro, a Japanese player ranked outside the ATP top 200, typically competes in qualifying draws across European clay events. Rodionov, an Austrian with previous ATP main-draw experience, represents the higher-ranked competitor on paper, though qualifying matches often feature tighter margins than seeding suggests. Historical precedent from Stuttgart's qualifying rounds shows that matches scheduled for the opening days rarely extend beyond the seven-day buffer built into the settlement terms, with cancellations or major delays occurring in fewer than 5% of cases across the tournament's recent editions.

The key variable traders should monitor is weather disruption on Stuttgart's clay courts during the first week of June, which occasionally compresses the qualifying schedule. Tournament officials typically publish the exact day-by-day schedule 48 hours before qualifying begins. Injury withdrawals remain possible but are uncommon at this stage, as both players have committed to the event. The Austrian Tennis Association's fixture confirmations and any updates from the ATP's official schedule represent the primary information sources for tracking whether this match maintains its scheduled slot.

Methodology

This page reviews Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jurij Rodionov across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.