Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Bueno

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Toby Samuel and Gonzalo Bueno are scheduled to meet in Roland Garros qualifying, with the match listed for Court 14 and due later today. The market is still pricing a 0% YES outcome, which points to how little public attention this pairing has drawn despite both players being through the early qualifying rounds. Samuel arrived after wins over Martin Damm and David Goffin, while Bueno advanced past Florent Bax and Vitaliy Sachko, so neither player is coming in cold.

On comparable qualifying matches, the first signal usually comes from whether the match starts on time and whether the draw remains intact. Head-to-head records do not help here: the available reporting shows no prior meeting between Samuel and Bueno, so the price is being driven more by current form and scheduling than by any direct matchup history. Recent preview coverage has also leaned on surface form rather than ranking, with Samuel described as having a stronger all-round run of results and Bueno as the cleaner mover through qualifying so far.

Traders should watch the official Roland Garros order of play, any court-time changes, and whether the match is pushed because of backlog or weather. If the fixture is moved or delayed, that matters for a market with a settlement window ending on 29 May, since a non-finished or heavily delayed match can still resolve to the fallback rules. Live scoreboard listings from MyKhel, Sofascore and Flashscore all currently point to the same fixture, which is the main confirmation that the tie is still on the slate.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Bueno across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.