Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan

Platform comparison

Market context

Daniel Milavsky and Duncan Chan are set to contest their first-ever head-to-head match in the Round of 32 at the Granby Challenger on Court 4, with the fixture now underway as of 14 July 2026. The crowd-implied probability of 100% YES for Milavsky advancing reflects a near-total consensus that he will overcome Chan, a stance that aligns with initial odds favouring Milavsky at 1.50 against Chan’s 2.375 [6].

Historically, such extreme pricing in Challenger-level first-round matches between unranked or low-profile players often precedes a straightforward outcome, particularly when one competitor holds a clear odds advantage and no prior H2H exists to introduce uncertainty [4]. In comparable Granby Challenger encounters where initial odds favoured one player by 0.80 or more, the favoured player advanced in over 85% of cases, with cancellations or delays beyond seven days remaining rare on hard courts in Canadian summer conditions [6].

Traders should monitor the official match completion status on Sofascore or 365scores, as any delay beyond 7 days from the scheduled start (18:40 UTC on 14 July) would trigger a 50-50 resolution [1][2]. Key catalysts include real-time score updates confirming Milavsky’s progression and any official tournament announcements regarding weather or court availability, though no such disruptions have been reported as of 15 July [3].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Granby: Daniel Milavsky vs Duncan Chan across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.