Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
65% | 35% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
65% | 35% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Petr Bar Biryukov | 65% YES | 36% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Petr Bar Biryukov Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Petr Bar Biryukov Set 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Petr Bar Biryukov Match O/U 21.5 | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Petr Bar Biryukov Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Market context
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilya Ivashka and Petr Bar Biryukov in the Bengaluru 3, originally scheduled for May 23, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Petr Bar Biryukov. This market will resolve to 'Petr Bar Biryukov' if Petr Bar Biryukov advances against Ilya Ivashka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this m
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Bengaluru 3: Ilya Ivashka vs Petr Bar Biryukov on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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