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Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Today.

38% YES 62% NO Volume: $129K Liquidity: $197K Closes: 31 May 2026
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Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Prediction Today Pick
polygram.ink
38% 62% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Prediction Today →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
38% 62% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Prediction Today →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Prediction Today →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Prediction Today →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Prediction Today →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.

Active sub-markets

Market context

This market refers to the tennis match between Tallon Griekspoor and Matteo Arnaldi in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tallon Griekspoor' if Tallon Griekspoor advances against Matteo Arnaldi. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against Tallon Griekspoor. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner dete

Methodology

This page reviews Roland Garros ATP: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldi across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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