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Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 61% Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse 60% Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 Winner 54% Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 38.5 54% Volume: $324K Liquidity: $157K Closes: 8 Jul 2026
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Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.561%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse60%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 Winner54%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 38.554%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.551%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 Winner50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 Winner50%
Completed Match50%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 40.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 8.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 9.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 10.550%
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-2.521%

Market context

Market consensus: 61% chance of wimbledon atp: jenson brooksby vs ignacio buse. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jenson Brooksby and Ignacio Buse in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve …

Methodology

We track Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Related Topics

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