Bengaluru 3: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Alastair Gray

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Alastair Gray has already been confirmed as the winner of this Bengaluru Challenger meeting, with ATP’s match record showing a 6-7(5), 6-4, 7-6(3) result. That means the market’s 100% YES price now reflects an event that has effectively cleared the sporting uncertainty, rather than a live pre-match estimate. For settlement purposes, the key issue is no longer form or surface conditions, but whether the match is treated as completed and which player officially advanced.

For comparable tennis markets, a full-priced outcome usually follows once the official scoreline is posted by ATP and mirrored by live-score services. When a challenger match reaches a final set tie-break, it can still leave room for confusion on unofficial feeds, but the authoritative tour archive is the cleanest reference point. In similar cases, a market only reverts towards 50-50 if the match is abandoned, annulled, or left without an official winner inside the settlement window.

The main catalysts now are administrative rather than sporting: any ATP correction to the score record, tournament-status updates, or a dispute over whether this was the scheduled Bengaluru 3 match covered by the market rules. Live-score pages and the ATP stats archive already point in the same direction, which reduces the chance of a late settlement issue. If no contradictory tournament announcement appears, the result should remain straightforwardly with Gray.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?

Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.