PGA Tour: FedEx St. Jude Championship Winner

Platform comparison

Market context

The 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship will take place at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee, as part of the PGA Tour's regular season finale before the playoffs. The tournament typically attracts a strong field of top-ranked players competing for both prize money and playoff positioning. Current implied probability of 6% for this specific listed player reflects either a mid-tier ranking in the field or recent form concerns that have shifted market expectations downward in the past 48 hours.

Historical context shows that FedEx St. Jude Championship winners have predominantly come from the top 20 players in world rankings, with the tournament's strength of field consistently ranking among the year's most competitive regular-season events. Players listed at single-digit implied probabilities in this market typically occupy positions 15–30 in the pre-tournament rankings, where winning odds depend heavily on course fit and recent tournament performance. Comparable PGA Tour regular-season events demonstrate that 6% probability aligns with players holding realistic but not favoured chances—roughly equivalent to 16–1 odds.

Traders should monitor the player's performance at upcoming spring and early summer events, particularly any tournaments at TPC Southwind or similar bentgrass courses where Memphis conditions favour certain playing styles. Official PGA Tour field announcements typically come two weeks before the championship, which may trigger probability shifts if the listed player's world ranking or recent results change materially. Injury reports and withdrawal news from competing events will also influence market movement, as will any changes to the player's equipment or coaching staff that affect short-game consistency.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

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