PGA Tour: Charles Schwab Challenge Winner

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, scheduled for late May at Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas, remains one of professional golf's most consistent tournaments. The 0% implied probability on the listed player reflects either an absence of market liquidity or genuine uncertainty about field composition ahead of the May settlement window. Colonial has hosted this event annually since 1946, making it one of the PGA Tour's oldest fixtures and a reliable indicator of form heading into the US Open.

Historical resolution patterns show that Charles Schwab Challenge markets typically see meaningful probability shifts only once the full field is announced and confirmed entries are published. Past tournaments have featured winner odds ranging from 8–1 down to 40–1 for favourites, depending on field strength and recent form. The current zero reading suggests traders are either waiting for official field confirmation or the market has minimal trading activity at present. Markets of this type often experience sharp repricing once PGA Tour releases its official entry list, typically four to six weeks before tournament week.

Key catalysts include the official field announcement from the PGA Tour, any late withdrawals or injuries affecting top-ranked players, and weather conditions reported in the week leading to play. Recent PGA Tour scheduling announcements and injury updates will shape which players commit to the event. Traders should monitor tour standings and player form through May, as the Charles Schwab Challenge traditionally attracts a strong field seeking momentum before the year's major championships.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.