Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Bilal El Khannouss: 3+ goals | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Achraf Hakimi: 1+ goals | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Achraf Hakimi: 2+ goals | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| John McGinn: 1+ goals | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| John McGinn: 2+ goals | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Neil El Aynaoui: 1+ goals | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Morocco’s pre-match edge has held through the last 24–48 hours, with mainstream betting previews still pricing them as the side to back rather than treating Scotland as a live upset threat. The broader market has also kept this fixture in a relatively low-scoring frame, with a projected total of 2.5 goals and Morocco listed as the favourite in recent odds screens.[1][5][7]
For player props, that matters because the cleanest historical read is that these markets tend to follow team strength, possession share, and shot volume rather than name recognition alone. Recent betting commentary has pointed to Morocco attacking options such as Achraf Hakimi as goal-scoring candidates, while also noting that the win price has been short and consistent, which usually supports props on Morocco involvement more than on a Scotland-heavy scoring script.[1][3][4] Against that backdrop, a 0% crowd-implied probability suggests the market is effectively treating this prop angle as unpriced or unavailable rather than merely unlikely.
The main catalysts to watch are final line-up announcements, any late injury or rest news, and confirmation of which Morocco forwards, full-backs, and set-piece takers are starting. As of the latest market pages, the match was still scheduled for 19 June at 6:00pm ET, so any movement into kick-off would likely come from team news rather than schedule changes.[6][7] If the teams are named with an attack-minded Morocco XI, that would strengthen prop interest; if Scotland set up conservatively, it would reinforce the low-scoring, low-event read already implied by the market.[5][7]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $139K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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