Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
10% | 90% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
10% | 90% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Curaçao 0 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire | 10% YES | 91% NO |
| Curaçao 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| Curaçao 2 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Curaçao 1 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Curaçao 3 - 0 Côte d'Ivoire | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Curaçao 2 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire | 2% YES | 98% NO |
Market context
The FIFA World Cup Group E clash between Curaçao and Côte d'Ivoire is set for 4:00 PM ET today at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia, with the crowd-implied probability for an exact score of 10% reflecting a heavy tilt toward a Côte d'Ivoire victory. In the last 24 hours, odds have shifted further against Curaçao as team news confirmed their hero goalkeeper Room faces an electric Ivory Coast frontline that rarely fails to fire on the biggest stage[1]. This mirrors historical Group E patterns where underdogs with narrow win probabilities (around 7%) typically concede two or more goals against top-tier African sides, making a 0-2 or 1-3 result the most statistically probable outcomes rather than the exact score being traded[4].
Traders should monitor the final lineups released before kickoff, as any unexpected defensive changes for Côte d'Ivoire could alter the goal margin, while the broadcast schedule on FS1 and streaming via FUBO ensures real-time verification of the match status[4]. The primary catalyst remains the pre-match training reports, which showed both sides preparing intensely, but the odds trader’s projection of a 3-1 win for Ivory Coast suggests a two-goal margin is the key dependency to watch[4]. With a 78.7% probability of triumph for Côte d'Ivoire and a 14.4% chance for a draw, the market’s focus on an exact score hinges on whether the Ivory Coast attack can replicate their recent scoring form against a Curaçao defence that struggled in previous fixtures[4].
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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