Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Germany have already shown they can turn a group-stage match into a high-scoring one, after opening the tournament with a 7-1 win, and that makes the exact-score market much harder to pin than a simple win-or-draw view.[1] The crowd’s 4% Yes price implies that a named scoreline is still being treated as a low-frequency outcome, with most of the weight sitting on the field’s many alternative score combinations rather than any single result.[1][4]

Recent previews point to a contest that could be open rather than cagey, with one published forecast landing on 3-2 Germany and another framing Germany as the favourite but vulnerable to Ivory Coast’s pace in transition.[1][4] That matters for exact score pricing because the most plausible outcomes in this sort of game often cluster around common football scores such as 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, or 3-1, while any late swing, red card, or set-piece-heavy pattern can quickly push the result into “Any Other Score”.[1][4]

For traders, the key catalysts are the final team news, any late injury or rotation updates, and confirmation of whether both sides approach the match with full-strength attacking line-ups, which pre-match reporting has been focused on.[1][3] FIFA’s match-centre listing confirms the scheduled kick-off and venue, so the main live dependency is whether the game starts on time and reaches a settled 90-minute result rather than needing any extraordinary rescheduling.[6]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.