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France vs. Sweden - Exact Score

Comparison of odds and platforms for "France vs. Sweden - Exact Score" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Today.

Any Other Score 25% France 2 - 0 Sweden 12% France 2 - 1 Sweden 11% France 3 - 0 Sweden 10% Volume: $376K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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France vs. Sweden - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
25% 75% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
25% 75% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score25%
France 2 - 0 Sweden12%
France 2 - 1 Sweden11%
France 3 - 0 Sweden10%
France 1 - 0 Sweden9%
France 3 - 1 Sweden9%
France 1 - 1 Sweden7%
France 2 - 2 Sweden4%
France 3 - 2 Sweden4%
France 0 - 0 Sweden3%
France 0 - 1 Sweden2%
France 1 - 2 Sweden2%
France 0 - 2 Sweden1%
France 1 - 3 Sweden1%
France 2 - 3 Sweden1%
France 3 - 3 Sweden1%
France 0 - 3 Sweden0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 25% probability to france vs. sweden - exact score. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the France vs. Sweden match originally sc…

Methodology

We track France vs. Sweden - Exact Score across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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