Egypt vs. IR Iran - Total Corners

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The FIFA World Cup match between Egypt and IR Iran concluded in Seattle Stadium on June 26 with a 1-1 draw, meaning the game has already finished and no further corners can be recorded. This explains the current crowd-implied probability of 0% for any "YES" outcome on total corners, as the settlement window closed with the final whistle. The result sees Egypt advance to the round of 32 to face Australia, while Iran awaits confirmation of their knockout qualification status for the first time in their history[1].

Historically, matches ending in a 1-1 draw in World Cup group stages typically generate between six and eight total corners, with neither side dominating possession enough to create a high corner count. Comparable Group G fixtures involving Egypt and Iran in recent years show a pattern of low corner totals, often clustering around the 6.5 line, which aligns with the market’s current zero probability given the match is complete[6]. Traders should note that corner markets in World Cup group games rarely exceed nine total corners unless one team dominates early, a scenario that did not occur here.

The primary catalyst for traders is the official match statistic release from FIFA, which will confirm the exact corner count and finalise the market settlement. No new announcements or schedules are relevant, as the game has concluded. Recent analysis from ESPN confirms Egypt created eight shots with an xG of 0.31, while Iran registered six shots with an xG of 0.42, indicating a balanced contest that rarely produces high corner volumes[1]. The market will resolve based on stats recorded during regulation, stoppage, and any extra time, but since the match ended in a draw, no further action is possible[5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.