Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
14% | 86% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
14% | 86% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway | 14% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway | 10% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway | 10% |
| Any Other Score | 9% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Norway | 8% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Norway | 7% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Norway | 7% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Norway | 7% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 2 Norway | 7% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway | 5% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 0 Norway | 4% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 3 Norway | 4% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway | 3% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Norway | 2% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 2 Norway | 2% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 0 Norway | 1% |
| Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 3 Norway | 1% |
Market context
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score — current market-implied probability: 14%. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Côte d'Ivoire and Norway, scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway match…
Methodology
This page reviews Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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