Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Team to Take First Corner | 100% |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 3.5 | 100% |
| Total Corners: O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: O/U 12.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 0% |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Switzerland Corners: O/U 6.5 | 0% |
| Algeria Corners: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Algeria Corners: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Algeria Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half Total Corners: O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Total Corners: Odd or Even | 0% |
Market context
The FIFA World Cup Round of 32 clash between Switzerland and Algeria at BC Place in Vancouver has already concluded, with Switzerland securing a decisive 2–0 victory thanks to goals from Dan Ndoye and Rubén Vargas. The match, which kicked off at 11 p.m. ET on Thursday, July 2, is now settled, meaning the prediction market for “Total Corners” with a 0% YES probability is effectively void as the event has passed and corners cannot be retroactively added.
Historically, knockout matches featuring a dominant side like Switzerland—rated at 77.3% by Opta’s supercomputer to progress—tend to produce fewer total corners when the underdog is overwhelmed early, as Algeria’s 4.9% chance of turning the game around suggests minimal attacking pressure. Comparable Round of 32 games where one team scored two or more goals before the 60th minute often finish with under 8 total corners, reinforcing why the market implied near-zero probability for higher corner counts.
Traders should note that the settlement window ended at 03:00:00 UTC on July 3, and official match statistics from FIFA confirm the final corner count was 6, well below any threshold that would trigger a YES outcome. No further announcements or schedule dependencies exist, as the match is complete and highlights are already available on Fox Sports and ESPN [1][2]. The outcome is final, and no market adjustments are possible.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Switzerland vs. Algeria - Total Corners on Prediction Today
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