Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
1% | 99% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
1% | 99% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Neymar Jr: 1+ goals | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Bruno Guimarães: 3+ goals | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Douglas Santos: 1+ goals | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
The FIFA World Cup match between Brazil and Haiti took place on Friday, 19 June at 8:30 PM ET, with Brazil expected to dominate possession and create the vast majority of attacking opportunities[1][3]. The game has concluded, and the crowd-implied probability of 1% YES for Haiti-related player props reflects the overwhelming consensus that Brazil will win with a clean sheet[3][6].
Historically, matches between a top-tier South American nation and a Caribbean underdog in World Cup group stages have seen the stronger side cover large handicaps, often winning by three or more goals while preventing the opponent from scoring[1][6]. Comparable cases, such as Brazil’s previous World Cup encounters against weaker opponents, show that player props for the underdog to score or assist rarely materialise when the moneyline favours the dominant team at -1200 or worse[3][5].
Traders should now monitor official post-match statistics and player performance reports to confirm whether any Haiti player registered shots on target or assists, as these are the only dependencies that could alter prop outcomes[2][9]. With the settlement window ending on 20 June 2026 at 00:30 UTC, no further announcements or schedule changes will affect the market, and all relevant data is already available from the match’s official summary[5][7].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $242K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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