United States vs. Senegal - More Markets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The United States men's national team faces Senegal in a FIFA International Friendly on 31 May at 3:30 PM ET. The 0% probability assigned to this market suggests traders are either confident in a specific outcome or uncertain about what "More Markets" entails—likely referring to additional betting options beyond standard match results that may not yet be formally listed. With settlement just over two weeks away, the fixture remains on schedule pending any last-minute squad or venue changes.

Friendly matches between established football nations rarely produce extreme outcomes, though the US-Senegal pairing lacks recent history. The USMNT has played Senegal only once competitively (2018 World Cup qualifying), whilst friendlies involving either side typically see relatively balanced competition when both nations field competitive squads. The current zero probability suggests either no meaningful trading activity or a structural issue with how the market is framed—traders may be waiting for clarification on what specific markets will settle against before committing capital.

Watch for squad announcements from both federations in the coming fortnight, particularly regarding player availability and injury status. The USMNT typically announces rosters 10–14 days before matches, whilst Senegal follows similar timelines. Any late withdrawals from either side could shift expectations around match intensity and team composition. Venue confirmation and weather conditions closer to the date may also influence trading patterns, though the underlying fixture itself remains firmly scheduled.

Methodology

We track United States vs. Senegal - More Markets on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.