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Norway vs. Sweden

Five-platform snapshot of "Norway vs. Sweden" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

99% YES 1% NO Volume: $333K Liquidity: $192K Closes: 1 Jun 2026
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Norway vs. Sweden

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Prediction Today Pick
polygram.ink
 99% 1% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Prediction Today →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 99% 1% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Prediction Today →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Prediction Today →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Prediction Today →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Prediction Today →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.

Active sub-markets

Norway99% YES2% NO
Draw (Norway vs. Sweden)2% YES99% NO
Sweden1% YES99% NO

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, norway vs. sweden stands at 99% likelihood according to current market consensus. This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Monday, June 1, 2026 between Norway and Sweden.

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 99% probability for "Norway vs. Sweden".

YES 99% NO 1%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $333K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
David ParkDavid ParkSports Data AnalystandOliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto Reporter

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