Cabo Verde vs. Serbia

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Active sub-markets

Market context

A friendly international fixture between Cabo Verde and Serbia is scheduled for 31 May 2026, with the market currently pricing the event as certain to occur. The 100% probability reflects the match's confirmed status on FIFA's international calendar, though the settlement window closes just after the scheduled kick-off time, creating a tight window for confirmation of actual play.

Friendly matches between lower-ranked nations and established European sides carry historical precedent for proceeding as scheduled. Serbia, ranked around 21st globally, regularly participates in pre-tournament preparation friendlies, whilst Cabo Verde (currently outside the top 100) uses such fixtures for competitive development. Cancellations of confirmed friendlies are uncommon once both federations have formally announced the fixture, though weather disruptions or administrative issues have occasionally forced postponements rather than outright cancellations.

The key variables traders should monitor include official confirmation from the Serbian Football Association and Cabo Verde's football federation in the weeks preceding the match, as well as any squad availability issues affecting either nation. Venue confirmation—the match location has not been widely publicised in recent reporting—remains relevant, as logistical complications occasionally emerge with fixtures involving smaller football nations. Any announcement of fixture rescheduling would likely come through official FIFA channels or direct federation statements, typically appearing 7-10 days before the scheduled date. The settlement window's proximity to kick-off means real-time match confirmation will be critical for final resolution.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?

Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.