Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC - More Markets

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Burnley and Wolverhampton meet on 24 May in what could be a consequential fixture depending on final-day circumstances in the Premier League. The 3% probability assigned to this market reflects extremely low conviction in a particular outcome, suggesting either a heavily skewed binary or minimal differentiation between the listed options. With the settlement window closing at 15:00 GMT on match day, traders have roughly 4 hours after kick-off to react to the result.

End-of-season Premier League fixtures frequently carry unpredictable dynamics. Burnley and Wolves have finished in mid-table positions in recent seasons, meaning neither club typically contests promotion or relegation battles that would drive tactical extremes. Historical precedent shows that when both sides have little to play for, individual performances become less predictable than early-season matches. Over the past three seasons, Burnley's home record against Wolves has been mixed, with neither side establishing clear dominance. The 3% probability suggests the market is pricing in a very specific scenario—possibly a particular player absence, injury update, or team selection detail that would dramatically shift expectations.

Recent team news and squad availability will be the primary catalyst through the settlement window. Any late injury announcements, suspension confirmations, or managerial statements about rotation could shift the probability significantly. Wolves' European commitments or Burnley's fixture congestion in the preceding weeks may influence squad freshness. Traders should monitor official team sheets released on match morning and any pre-match press conference comments from either manager regarding tactical approach or personnel decisions.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.