Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Burnley travel to Wolverhampton on 24 May 2026 in what appears to be a late-season Premier League fixture. The 12% implied probability reflects Burnley's status as substantial underdogs, a positioning that has shifted little in recent days despite any squad updates or injury news filtering through the market. This probability sits notably lower than typical pre-match odds for away sides in competitive matches, suggesting the crowd is pricing in either Wolves' superior form heading into late May or Burnley's historical struggles in this fixture.

Historical context matters here. Burnley's away record against Wolves over the past five seasons shows mixed results, though the Lancashire club has won only once in their last four visits to Molineux. Wolves, meanwhile, have maintained relatively consistent mid-table finishes and home advantage typically carries measurable weight in May fixtures where both sides' seasons may be decided by final-day outcomes. The 12% probability aligns with what traders would expect for a visiting side without recent momentum or a clear tactical advantage.

Traders should monitor team news through the week, particularly injury confirmations for either squad's key players. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of the season—whether either side faces a midweek match beforehand—could affect squad rotation decisions. Burnley's league position by late May will also signal urgency; if they're fighting relegation, their approach differs materially from a side already safe. Official team sheets typically emerge 90 minutes before kickoff, offering the final catalyst for significant probability shifts.

Methodology

This page reviews Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at PolyGram — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, PolyGram triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.