Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PolyGram Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on PolyGram → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on PolyGram → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on PolyGram → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on PolyGram → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on PolyGram → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on PolyGram.
Active sub-markets
| Total Kills Over/Under 56.5 in Game 1? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 59.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Total Kills Over/Under 62.5 in Game 1? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Virtus.pro and GamerLegion were due to meet in DreamLeague Season 29 Group A today, and the live market has already moved to a full Virtus.pro lean, which reflects the pre-match and in-play signal rather than any confirmed result. Recent bookmaker and preview data from EGamersWorld had Virtus.pro as the clearer favourite at around 1.59, while Strafe’s preview showed Virtus.pro with 62.7% of user votes and GamerLegion on a poor run, winning none of their last five. BO3.gg also listed Virtus.pro with a strong map-edge profile, including a very low price on them to win at least one map.
The 100% YES crowd price is best read against the fact that these teams had not built a long head-to-head history, so there is little matchup precedent to dilute form-based pricing. Comparable DreamLeague group-stage spots tend to settle quickly when the favourite is already in control or the map score is one-sided, but they are also exposed to forfeits, technical pauses, or schedule changes in a crowded group phase. In practice, the market is saying Virtus.pro are far more likely to take the series than GamerLegion, with the main tail risk now lying in non-completion rather than a clean upset.
The key things to watch are official ESL/DreamLeague scheduling updates, whether the series starts on time, and any indication of admin intervention or map forfeits, since those can matter more than team form once a live event is underway. BO3.gg’s live match page and the ongoing DreamLeague coverage are the most immediate sources for status changes, while Strafe and EGamersWorld provide the latest pre-match and ranking context. If the match is delayed, abandoned, or not fully completed, settlement can depend on the organiser’s ruling rather than the on-server score.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- PolyGram is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on PolyGram?
- Zero. PolyGram routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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