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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Live odds for "Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

Ends in Daytime 52% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 51% Ends in Daytime 50% Ends in Daytime 50% Volume: $116K Liquidity: $941K Closes: 23 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime52%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Ends in Daytime50%
First Blood in Game 1?50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?49%
O/U 2.5 Games46%
Both Teams Beat Roshan42%
Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Team Yandex (+1.5)42%
Game 2 Winner38%
Game 1 Winner36%
Both Teams Beat Roshan36%
Both Teams Beat Roshan33%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks33%
Match Winner30%
Any Player Ultra Kill27%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks25%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Any Player Ultra Kill24%
Any Player Rampage17%
Any Player Rampage14%
Any Player Rampage14%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, dota 2: team yandex vs team spirit (bo3) - the international playoffs stands at 52% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket final match between Team Yandex and Team Spirit in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 22, 2026 at 10:00 P…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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