Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map Handicap: WAL (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Walczaki (-6.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+6.5) | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% Walczaki | 100% Inner Circle Esports |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | — | |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Inner Circle Esports (-6.5) vs Walczaki (+6.5) | — | |
Market context
Walczaki face Inner Circle Esports in the Super DraculaN Quarterfinal 2 BO3, a LAN match scheduled for Bucharest today at 11:00 ET. The market currently implies a 0% chance of Walczaki winning, a stark divergence from betting odds that favour them heavily at 1.15 for a straight victory and predict a 2-0 scoreline[1]. This probability gap suggests the market is pricing in a potential cancellation or a severe, unannounced roster issue rather than a genuine competitive deficit, as the team just advanced to playoffs with a decisive 2-0 win over EAC in the same tournament[2].
Historically, similar 0% implied probabilities in live esports markets have resolved to 50-50 outcomes when matches were delayed beyond the seven-day settlement window or cancelled due to venue access failures, rather than reflecting a team’s actual inability to compete. Comparable cases from the Digital Crusade series show that when odds heavily favour one side but the market collapses to zero, the resolution often hinges on administrative dependencies like travel visas or equipment failures, not match performance[3]. Traders should watch for immediate announcements regarding the Bucharest LAN venue status, any last-minute roster declarations from Walczaki, and the official start time confirmation on live score platforms[5]. A delay beyond 15:00 UTC without a winner will trigger the 50-50 resolution, making the next hour critical for settlement[6].
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Today — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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