Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+6.5) | 0% Virtus.pro | 100% Oxuji Esports |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 1% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-6.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+6.5) | 0% Virtus.pro | 100% Oxuji Esports |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Virtus.pro (-9.5) vs Oxuji Esports (+9.5) | 0% Virtus.pro | 100% Oxuji Esports |
| Match Winner | 100% Virtus.pro | 0% Oxuji Esports |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
Virtus.pro face Oxuji Esports in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match within the CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage, scheduled for 9 June at 10:00 AM ET. The 0% crowd probability suggests either exceptionally high confidence in Virtus.pro's victory or minimal trading activity on this particular fixture. Settlement occurs at 20:15 UTC on the same day, allowing a ten-hour window for the match to conclude.
Virtus.pro remains a recognised European Counter-Strike organisation, though the team's competitive standing has fluctuated considerably over recent seasons. Oxuji Esports operates at a lower tier within European competitive Counter-Strike, making this a significant skill differential on paper. Historical CCT Europe fixtures involving established organisations against developing squads typically favour the higher-ranked side, though upsets occur in best-of-three formats where map selection and momentum shifts create volatility. The absence of recent head-to-head records between these specific rosters limits direct precedent.
Traders should monitor official CCT Europe announcements regarding match scheduling confirmation, as delays beyond seven days trigger a 50-50 resolution. Roster changes or last-minute substitutions for either team could alter competitive balance materially. The match's position as a Group Stage fixture means both teams have incentive to perform, though Virtus.pro's likely advancement prospects may differ from Oxuji's. Technical issues or stream disruptions occasionally affect match timing in online tournaments, potentially affecting settlement precision given the tight window between scheduled start and resolution deadline.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - … on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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