Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Ursa face ex-Zero Tenacity in a Counter-Strike best-of-three fixture within the CCT Europe Series 3 group stage on 1 June at 10:00 AM ET. The 0% implied probability reflects either extreme confidence in one team's superiority or minimal trading activity on this particular matchup. CCT Europe tournaments typically draw modest liquidity outside peak hours, and matches involving roster changes or lesser-known squads often see thin order books that can distort crowd sentiment.

Ex-Zero Tenacity's roster transition—the team rebranded from Zero Tenacity earlier this year—creates a historical comparison problem. Predecessor rosters under the Zero Tenacity banner showed inconsistent results in CCT qualifiers, winning some group-stage fixtures whilst losing to mid-tier opposition. Ursa's competitive record in similar CCT Europe brackets remains sparse, making direct head-to-head precedent limited. When both teams lack extensive recent fixture data against common opponents, crowd probabilities tend toward extremes rather than calibrated midpoints.

The settlement window closes at 20:15 UTC on 1 June, allowing roughly ten hours after the scheduled start time for the match to conclude. Traders should monitor CCT Europe's official schedule for any postponements or bracket adjustments in the 48 hours before play; organisational delays are not uncommon in regional online tournaments. Roster confirmations and stand-in announcements typically emerge 24 hours prior. The seven-day tie-break clause means any match delayed beyond 8 June without resolution triggers a 50-50 settlement, a scenario worth tracking if technical issues or scheduling conflicts emerge.

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Ursa vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Today is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.