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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by Prediction Today.

Map 1 Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5) 100% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5) 100% Volume: $149K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-9.5) vs G2 Ares (+9.5)100%
Match Winner69%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 2 Winner50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-12.5) vs G2 Ares (+12.5)6%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5)2%
Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SPARTA (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)0%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: sparta vs g2 ares (bo3) - cct europe series #5 group stage. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between SPARTA and G2 Ares in the CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 28 at 1:00PM ET. This marke…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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