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Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Nexus (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 90% Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 90% Volume: $96K Liquidity: $606K Closes: 17 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs Nexus (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.590%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.590%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Ares (-3.5) vs Nexus (+3.5)90%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Nexus (-3.5) vs G2 Ares (+3.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map Handicap: NXS (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5)0%

Market context

Counter-Strike: Nexus vs G2 Ares (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Nexus and G2 Ares in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group C, initially scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market w…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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