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Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% O/U 2.5 Games 88% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 61% Volume: $1.2M Liquidity: $886K Closes: 21 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
O/U 2.5 Games88%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)61%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Match Winner50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-6.5) vs Team Nemesis (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.540%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)25%
Map 2 Winner18%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.510%
Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)8%
Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-3.5) vs Astralis (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Team Nemesis (-6.5) vs Astralis (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Astralis (-9.5) vs Team Nemesis (+9.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: team nemesis vs astralis (bo3) - blast bounty qualifier stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 32 match between Team Nemesis and Astralis in the BLAST Bounty Qualifier, initially scheduled for July 21 at 8:30AM ET. This mark…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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