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Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 54% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 50% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 26% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 22% Volume: $348K Liquidity: $95K Closes: 1 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
54% 46% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
54% 46% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner54%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Luminosity (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.526%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)22%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: monte vs team nemesis (bo1) - xse pro league group stage stands at 54% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Monte and Team Nemesis in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 1 at 4:00AM ET. This market w…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pr… on Prediction Today

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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