Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Today Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Today → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Today → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Today → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Today → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Today → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Today.
Active sub-markets
| Match Winner | 100% Legacy | 0% FlyQuest |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-3.5) vs FlyQuest (+3.5) | 100% Legacy | 0% FlyQuest |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: FlyQuest (-3.5) vs Legacy (+3.5) | 0% FlyQuest | 100% Legacy |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Legacy (-9.5) vs FlyQuest (+9.5) | 0% Legacy | 100% FlyQuest |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to counter-strike: legacy vs flyquest (bo1) - iem cologne major stage 2. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between Legacy and FlyQuest in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 2, initially scheduled for June 6 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Legacy" …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What does it cost to trade on Prediction Today?
- Zero. Prediction Today routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Today triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Colog… on Prediction Today
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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