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Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 92% Match Winner 75% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 74% Map 2 Winner 58% Volume: $111K Liquidity: $137K Closes: 6 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner92%
Match Winner75%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.574%
Map 2 Winner58%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs Lavked (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-3.5) vs Just Players (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-6.5) vs Just Players (+6.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
O/U 2.5 Games45%
Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs Just Players (+1.5)45%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Lavked (-9.5) vs Just Players (+9.5)25%

Market context

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A — current market-implied probability: 92%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Lavked and Just Players in the European Pro League Series 8 Group A, initially scheduled for July 6 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "L…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Today, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Today trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - Europ… on Prediction Today

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