Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Today) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Winner | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 30.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 33.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 36.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 100% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 39.5 | 100% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-3.5) vs Just Players (+3.5) | 100% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: SAW (-3.5) vs Just Players (+3.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-9.5) vs SAW (+9.5) | 1% |
| Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 45.5 | 1% |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map Handicap: Just Players (-1.5) vs SAW (+1.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-3.5) vs SAW (+3.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-12.5) vs SAW (+12.5) | 0% |
| Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-9.5) vs SAW (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-9.5) vs SAW (+9.5) | 0% |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5 | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Just Players (-6.5) vs SAW (+6.5) | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 2 match between Just Players and SAW in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 1 at 9:45AM ET. This mark…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Today. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Counter-Strike: Just Players vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Euro… on Prediction Today
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